Within the next two months gay marriage will be legal in New Zealand.
It's safe to make that prediction because a bill sponsored by Labour MP Louisa Wall is one step away from becoming law with only a third reading needed to enact it.
There have been three votes on the bill, putting it through its first reading, second reading and committee stage - 80-40, 77-44 and 77-43.
It's unthinkable, and would be unprecedented, for a majority that strong to be overturned between a committee stage and a third reading.
The bill is in its final form, no further attempts can be made to amend it.
There were attempts, during its committee stage on Wednesday night, and they were all defeated by at least 80 votes.
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